CHARLOTTE METRO REAL ESTATE TRENDS AND STATS

CHARLOTTE #3 RANKING FOR RELOCATION IN USA
May 26th, 2009 10:35 AM

RISMEDIA, May 26, 2009-With the unemployment rate climbing as the national economy sags, more people are searching for communities that offer greater economic opportunity and a better standard of living. To help, Relocation.com, one of the leading online consumer resources for moving services, has compiled its list of “Best Cities for a Fresh Start.”

Unlike many lists that focus solely on the economy, Relocation.com took a wide-ranging look at factors that would appeal to someone looking for a fresh start: city ‘popularity’ based on consumer requests for moving quotes to move to that city; economic-growth prospects; home affordability; and the strength of a community as reflected by volunteerism rates.

Top 20 cities you should consider if you are looking for a fresh start:

1. Austin, Texas
2. Dallas-Forth Worth, Texas
3. Charlotte, North Carolina
4.
Denver, Colorado
5. Columbus, Ohio (tie)
5. Indianapolis, Indiana (tie)
7. Washington, D.C.-Baltimore, Maryland
8. Atlanta, Georgia
9. Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
10. Houston, Texas (tie)
10. Les Vegas, Nevada (tie)
10. Seattle, Washington (tie)
13. Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota (tie)
13. Raleigh-Durham, North Carolina (tie)
15. San Antonio, Texas
16. Portland, Oregon
17. Cincinnati, Ohio
18. Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
19. Memphis, Tennessee
20. Cleveland, Ohio



Read more: http://rismedia.com/2009-05-25/time-for-a-fresh-start-20-best-cities-if-youre-looking-to-start-over/#ixzz0Gch6mQJv&B

Posted by Philip Jernigan, SRA on May 26th, 2009 10:35 AMPost a Comment (0)

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Consumer Confidence Index Increases to Highest Level in Eight Months
May 28th, 2009 3:49 PM

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RISMEDIA, May 27, 2009-The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, which had improved considerably in April, posted another large gain in May. The Index now stands at 54.9 (1985=100), up from 40.8 in April. The Present Situation Index increased to 28.9 from 25.5 last month. The Expectations Index rose to 72.3 from 51.0 in April. The Consumer Confidence Survey is based on a representative sample of 5,000 U.S. households. The monthly survey is conducted for The Conference Board by TNS- one of the world’s largest custom research companies. The cutoff date for May’s preliminary results was May 19th.

Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center stated: “After two months of significant improvements, the Consumer Confidence Index is now at its highest level in eight months (Sept. 2008, 61.4).

Continued gains in the Present Situation Index indicate that current conditions have moderately improved, and growth in the second quarter is likely to be less negative than in the first. Looking ahead, consumers are considerably less pessimistic than they were earlier this year, and expectations are that business conditions, the labor market and incomes will improve in the coming months. While confidence is still weak by historical standards, as far as consumers are concerned, the worst is now behind us.”

Consumers’ overall assessment of current-day conditions improved again. Those claiming business conditions are “good” increased to 8.7% from 7.9%. However, those claiming conditions are “bad” increased to 45.3% from 44.9%. Consumers’ appraisal of the job market was also more favorable. Those claiming jobs are “hard to get” decreased to 44.7% from 46.6% in April, and those saying jobs are “plentiful” edged up to 5.7% from 4.9%.

Consumers’ short-term outlook improved significantly in May. Those expecting business conditions will improve over the next six months increased to 23.1% from 15.7%, while those anticipating conditions will worsen declined to 17.8% from 24.4% in April.

The employment outlook was also less pessimistic. The percentage of consumers expecting more jobs in the months ahead increased to 20.0% from 14.2%, while those anticipating fewer jobs decreased to 25.2% from 32.5%. The proportion of consumers anticipating an increase in their incomes edged up to 10.2% from 8.3%.



Read more: http://rismedia.com/2009-05-26/consumer-confidence-index-increases-to-highest-level-in-eight-months/#ixzz0GpfqJ6JC&B

Posted by Philip Jernigan, SRA on May 28th, 2009 3:49 PMPost a Comment (0)

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HVCC - FIX OR FRAUD?
May 27th, 2009 6:11 PM
Friday, 1 May 2009
Home Valuation Code of Conduct: Fix or Fraud?

Today is the official start of a new policy at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, to only buy loans that were appraised under the Home Valuation Code of Conduct. The HVCC was the outgrowth of a lawsuit filed by New York Sate Attorney General Andrew Cuomo against Washington Mutual and was designed to “improve the reliability of home appraisals,” according to FHFA, Fannie and Freddie’s regulator.

But don’t talk to an appraiser or a mortgage broker about it, or you’ll get an earful. Most of them claim it was crammed down the collective throat of Fannie and Freddie by the very powerful Mr. Cuomo, and that it puts good solid appraisers out of business, complicates the loan process for mortgage brokers, and inevitably hurts consumers.

“One of the biggest stories here is that my appraiser, I've been using for twelve years, he just got his business ripped out from him,” says Craig Strent of Apex Home Loans in Bethesda, MD.

The HVCC requires a firewall between appraisers and those who produce loans, i.e. mortgage lenders and brokers, and that ends up being Appraisal Management Companies, middlemen essentially, that order up independent appraisals. So the appraisal fee, which would have gone wholly to the appraiser, now gets split between the AMC and the appraiser. That’s sending a lot of good appraisers right out of the business.

“Yesterday, Thursday, appraisers may have had 50 or 60 clients that they could deal with, so if they were getting undue pressure from somebody they could just tell that client no, I'm not doing any more work for you,” says Jim Amorin, of the Appraisal Institute. “Today the number of players in the field have been drastically reduced to generally these appraisal management companies, so the pressure that's going to be brought to bear on appraisers we fear is going to be as strong if not stronger than it was before, the whole thing the code of conduct was trying to address.”

Another concern is that the AMC’s may hire appraisers who don’t know the particular neighborhood where the house is, and may use the lowest bidders, again, putting good local appraisers, who know their market best, out of business.

But the biggest issue is something Dana, a mortgage broker, cites in a blast to the RealtyCheck:

Based on Attorney General Cuomo’s website, the appraisal fraud in the mortgage industry was due to the practices used by some of the country’s largest banks pressuring appraisers to artificially inflate the value of homes.

Why is it that some of the largest banks in the country are allowed to have partial ownership in the Appraisal Management Companies ?? Isn’t this once again the fox watching the hen house??

Interestingly, as I wrote earlier, the HVCC arose out of a 2007 lawsuit against First American Corp. and its subsidiary, eAppraiseIT, whose largest client was Washington Mutual. It charged eAppriaseIT with conspiring with WaMu to “inflate real estate appraisals.”

If the whole idea is to get the appraisal system out of the banking/lending system, then why is it that First American Corp., still has joint venture appraisal management companies with: JP Morgan Chase (Quantrix), Citigroup (Finiti), Wells Fargo (Rels), making First American one of the largest Appraisal Management Companies in the nation? Oh, and there’s currently a class action lawsuit against Rels, claiming it rigged the appraisal process for Wells Fargo.

A press release from Attorney General Cuomo’s office, from March of 2008, states: Lenders will be prohibited from using “in-house” staff appraisers to conduct initial appraisals and Lenders will be prohibited from using appraisal management companies that they own or control.

I contacted Fannie Mae, Attorney General Cuomo’s office and the FHFA for comment, but nobody wanted to talk. FHFA Director James Lockhart gave me a statement, which, interestingly, hammers home the need to rid the system of fraudulent appraisals, but never actually, in words, directly supports the HVCC.


Posted by Philip Jernigan, SRA on May 27th, 2009 6:11 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Bank stress test results and comments
May 21st, 2009 4:09 PM
Nearly a Quarter of Homeowners "Under Water"
More homeowners are underwater as a two-year slide in housing values continued into the first quarter, according to data service Zillow.com. About 22 percent of homeowners carry mortgage balances that are greater than their houses are worth, the firm said. At the end of the fourth quarter, 17.6 percent of homeowners owed more than their original mortgage, up over three percent, from 14.3 percent, three months earlier.
 
Property values dropped 14 percent from a year earlier in the first quarter, reducing the median value of U.S. single-family homes, condominiums and cooperatives to $182,378, Zillow said. The decline has left about 20.4 million of the U.S.'s 93 million houses, condos and co-ops covered by loans higher than the properties are worth, which could lead to more bank repossessions, Zillow said.
 
The numbers are more drastic than those reported by First American Core Logic, whose report said the recession cut home values by $2.4 trillion last year and left more than 8.3 million U.S. mortgage holders owing more than their properties were worth. They said an additional 2.2 million borrowers would be underwater if prices decline another five percent. The U.S. market with the biggest drop in home values in the first quarter was Salinas, Calif., where the median price fell 37 percent to $301,793 from a year earlier, Zillow said.
 
In 85 of the markets tracked, the annualized home-value change over the past five years was negative or little changed. About 20 percent of all home transactions in the past 12 months were foreclosures, and short sales made up about 12 percent.


 

HUD Realeases New Single Family Lenders Guide
The Department of Housing and Urban Development has released a new handbook known as HUD 4155.2, Lender's Guide to the Single Family Mortgage Insurance Process. Included in this latest release is a chapter dedicated to property valuation and appraisal that details, among other topics, the purpose of property valuations and who is eligible to perform them; the Federal Housing Administration's policy on appraisals, appraisal reporting standards and policy on appraisal repair requirements; and the prohibition of property flipping (and the appraisers responsibility to analyze prior sales of a property).

To view the handbook in its entirety, visit
Fed's Release Stress Test Results

The results of the Federal Reserve's much-anticipated "stress tests" conducted on the nation's 19 largest banks have finally been made public after more than a week of delay. The outcome? The nation's financial giants are not out of the woods yet, but they're also not as lost in those woods as many had feared they would be. As projected by the federal government, the 19 banks tested are at a combined risk to lose up to $599 billion through the end of next year should the economy perform worse than expected. As a result, 10 of the 19 banks have been ordered to raise a combined $74.6 billion in capital to cushion themselves. Though $599 billion is still a staggering number, many industry insiders were predicting the potential for losses to be much higher.
 
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner called the results of the stress tests "reassuring." In an interview with PBS' Charlie Rose Program, Geithner stated that "There [are] very significant cushions in these institutions today, and all Americans should be confident that these institutions are going to be viable institutions going forward."
 
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke also was upbeat about the results of the stress tests, referring to them as "encouraging." However, Bernanke also emphasized that banks should conduct internal stress tests to identify other potential risks, especially risks that the government's tests did not address.
 
"Ideally, the stress tests used in the assessment program should be part of a broader palette of internal stress tests conducted by firms," Bernanke noted last week at a Fed conference hosted by the Atlanta Fed district bank. "Indeed, we do not intend that the capital assessments should be taken as all that those firms need to do."
 
Bernanke's comments mirror concerns that have grown in recent months regarding the health of the commercial real estate sector. According to an article that ran in the Wall Street Journal, regulators are increasingly worried about banks exposed to commercial loans. As projected by the stress tests, losses could be up to 12 percent - or $216 billion - on commercial real estate loans by the end of next year.
 
The results of the Fed's tests are the culmination of weeks of investigations into the banks' lending practices, funding strategies and securities and loan portfolios. After officially announcing the stress test results, regulators set a timetable for banks that need to bolster their capital. These institutions will have until June 8 to develop a plan and until Nov. 9 to implement it.
 
Under the stress tests, each bank was put through two "what if" scenarios by regulators. Under the first scenario, it was assumed that the unemployment level will reach 8.8 percent in 2010 and house prices will decline by 14 percent. In the second scenario, banks were analyzed for what would happen during a worse-than-expected downturn; one where unemployment levels would hit 10.3 percent in 2010 and house prices would drop 22 percent this year

Posted by Philip Jernigan, SRA on May 21st, 2009 4:09 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Staging Trends
May 13th, 2009 6:48 PM

Top 5 Home Staging Trends to Help You Compete in Today’s Market

staging-we1RISMEDIA, May 13, 2009-Staging your home before listing it on the market is a crucial step that many homeowners often overlook. While the competition continues to be fierce in today’s market, homeowners must take the necessary steps in order to make their home stand out from the others. The International Association of Home Staging Professionals (IAHSPR) offers 5 home staging tips to help you compete in today’s market:

1. Home staging is not just for houses for sale. Home staging continues to cross over into many service areas that have nothing to do with selling a house. Traditional home staging involves working with sellers to prepare houses for sale, but today’s successful Accredited Staging Professionals have a multi-faceted business that allows them to serve clients with staging to live, help organize offices with staging to work, and provide event staging for a myriad of events from parties to large corporate parties. Home stagers also provide staging to live services for those remaining in their homes to help them refresh their interiors with simple solutions. Since much of what a home stager provides is the vision and organizational skills and ability to carry out that vision to fruition, their talents are being demanded by many parallel industries.

2. Home staging helps foreclosure, REO and short sale properties sell. With the increase of foreclosure, REO, and short sale properties in many markets throughout the United States, the need for presentation of these properties as a product that can sell is imperative. As professional home stagers continue to develop relationships with banks and investors, the services they offer of being able to visually package and market a property will continue to gain value. Banks and Investors need to invest money up front to stage and sell a house versus letting it languish on the market and lose tens of thousands of dollars per property.

3. Home staging becomes greener. In The International Association of Home Staging Professionals we see a trend towards eco-friendly home staging continuing as a viable market niche. Home stagers have specific inventory they can provide that is “green” to help a seller, builder or investor that wants to put their “green” foot forward and achieve their goal of marketing a product that truly has the environment at heart. There are even inventory lines devoted to providing a truly eco-friendly product created from recycled materials that any individual, builder or organization that states they are truly ecologically conscious should be focused on including with any home staging services they receive.

4. Home staging captivates mainstream media. There are currently no less than eight shows on HGTV devoted to the process of preparing a house for sale, and this trend will continue as long as the public finds value in learning what to do both inside and outside their home when getting ready to put it on the market. The key is that although many of the shows provide entertainment quality, what they miss is the ability for a viewer to truly be objective in their own house. Home stagers that can independently assess a house’s strength’s and weaknesses, and provide a concise and effective plan of action, will continue to be in demand.

5. Education and professional associations will become more important for screening qualified home stagers. With the influx of many people providing home staging services, we see a need for qualification of skills and education in order to weed out those that have not set up their businesses with professional standards.


Posted by Philip Jernigan, SRA on May 13th, 2009 6:48 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Market Comment - 5/11/2009
May 11th, 2009 3:23 PM
Market Comment - Week of May 11th, 2009

Mortgage bond prices remained unchanged for the week keeping mortgage interest rates steady. Trading remained volatile with rates improving the first portion of week. However, some of the data came in surprisingly better than expected Thursday and Friday which caused mortgage bond prices to fall and rates to rise. The labor cost component of the productivity report along with the Fed Chairman's concerns about the possibility of future inflation caused some steep price declines the latter portion of the week. Unfortunately this eroded most the improvements from Monday and Tuesday. For the week, interest rates finished near unchanged.

The consumer and producer price data will be the most significant economic events this week. Trade and retail sales data may also result in some mortgage interest rate volatility.


Economic Factors
Economic Indicator
Release Date Time
Consensus Estimate
Analysis
Trade Data
Tuesday, May 12, 2009
$29 billion deficit
Important. Affects the value of the dollar. A falling deficit may strengthen the dollar and lead to lower rates.
Retail Sales
Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Down 0.1%
Important. A measure of consumer demand. Weakness may lead to lower rates.
Business Inventories
Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Down 1.1%
Low importance. An indication of stored-up capacity. A significantly large increase may lead to lower rates.
Producer Price Index
Thursday, May 14, 2009
Up 0.1%, Core up 0.1%
Important. An indication of inflationary pressures at the producer level. Decreases may lead to lower rates.
Consumer Price Index
Friday, May 15, 2009
Unchanged, Core up 0.1%
Important. A measure of inflation at the consumer level. Decreases may lead to lower rates.
Industrial Production
Friday, May 15, 2009
Down 0.5%
Important. A measure of manufacturing sector strength. Weakness may lead to lower rates.
Capacity Utilization
Friday, May 15, 2009
69%
Important. A figure above 85% is viewed as inflationary. Weakness may lead to lower rates.
U of Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Friday, May 15, 2009
65
Important. An indication of consumers' willingness to spend. Weakness may lead to lower mortgage rates.

Market Conditions

There is a Chinese proverb that states, "May you live in interesting times." It is often argued that the word interesting is meant to be a synonym for turbulent or dangerous. This phrase hits the bull's-eye given the current state of the financial markets.

While stocks and bonds are swinging around wildly there is some good news. Interest rates for conforming and FHA/VA loans are still historically low by many standards.

However, low rates are not a given considering the escalating inflation fears that reemerged recently. Oil prices rose most of last week and Fed Chairman Bernanke expressed concerns about "how to wind down the federal balance sheet" and "avoid inflation." When a Fed official mentions inflation it is generally not positive for bonds. Inflation, real or perceived, erodes the value of bonds causing bond prices to fall and rates to rise. The last thing the economy needs now is rising mortgage interest rates. If inflation emerges that very well may happen despite the continued Fed efforts to keep rates low. With so much uncertainty, a cautious approach to float lock decisions, especially heading into the inflation data this week, would be wise.


Posted by Philip Jernigan, SRA on May 11th, 2009 3:23 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Relocation.com Survey Shows Consumers Moving Further Due to Economy
May 6th, 2009 4:34 PM
ISMEDIA, May 6, 2009-Just as the Great Depression contributed to large-scale migrations from certain parts of the U.S., the current recession could be having a similar, historic effect, a new survey from Relocation.com, one of the leading online consumer resources for moving services, suggests. Data from Relocation.com showed that consumers are moving longer distances and making more out-of-state moves compared to a year ago, mainly due to economic factors like a lost job. The percentage of consumers who moved more than 1,000 miles for their move nearly doubled compared to a year ago - 70% of survey respondents said they moved 1,000 miles or more, compared to 36% in a similar study conducted in early 2008.

The latest U.S. Census Bureau data shows a decrease in the total number of moves, down from 13.2% in 2007 to 11.9% in 2008, the lowest rate since 1948. Of those moving consumers, the new Relocation.com data shows that the financial crisis has had a definite impact, with 60% more consumers now listing financial reasons as the primary reason for moving compared to last year; 41% of respondents indicated that the recession and housing crisis had a strong influence on their decision to move. Three percent of the consumers who took the survey indicated that they lost their home through foreclosure, while 13% reported that they lost their job.

The number of people who said they moved for family reasons has also risen from 18% in the 2008 survey to 28% in 2009. The numbers could reflect people moving in with family members to cut costs, a desire to be close to family members or other reasons.

“Even though a smaller total number are relocating, consumers are still on the move for jobs, better housing or family reasons,” said Sharon (Ron) Asher, chairman and founder, Relocation.com. “We are seeing more out-of-state moves from traditionally popular destinations, likely because of high foreclosure rates and diminished property values.”

A small percentage of movers were making moves for the better with five percent of those surveyed moving to a bigger, better house, while eight percent were looking for a better neighborhood to improve their lifestyle.


Posted by Philip Jernigan, SRA on May 6th, 2009 4:34 PMPost a Comment (0)

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ARTICLE: U.S. New Home Sales Will Likely Continue to Struggle
May 1st, 2009 9:05 AM

U.S. New Home Sales Will Likely Continue to Struggle


Despite some signs of relief in the U.S. housing market, most economists foresee continued challenges for new home sales over the coming months.

After unexpectedly rising 4.7% in February to 337k, economists expect new home sales in the U.S. to remain unchanged on the month in March. New home sales reached a record low of 322k in January, according to the Department of Commerce.

 "Sales of new homes will likely continue to struggle during the first half of 2009 as employment, economic concerns and mortgage market troubles outweigh the improvements in overall affordability we have seen," economists from Wachovia noted.

They added that a decline in completions and general building activity will result in less supply coming into the market, and that inventories could return to the "equilibrium" levels seen in the late 1990s by this summer.

"There are a number of powerful incentives to purchase a new home in place today, including builder discounts, tax rebates for first-time home buyers and exceptionally low mortgage rates," they said.

Economists at Desjardins, meanwhile, said that despite the impressive rebound in February, the inventory of homes in the market remains high while the fall in prices does not appear to be slowing. In February, the median house price fell to $200,900, down from $206,800 in January. Annually, prices have fallen 18.1%.

"Yet, we can find some relief in the fact that homebuilder sentiment seems to be edging up from the nadir recently reached, and consumer confidence indexes associated with the purchase of a new home are doing slightly better than the indexes covering the purchase of an existing home," the Desjardins economists noted.

On the more optimistic side, HFE chief U.S. economist Ian Shepherdson is looking for sales to jump to 375k, while calling for a drop in inventories and prices.

"We think record low mortgage rates will prompt something of an upturn in sales; that's certainly the message from the NAHB survey," he said.

Last week, the National Association of Home Builders released a survey showing that confidence amongst home builders rose to its highest level since October.

The new home sales data will be released by the Department of Commerce at 10 a.m. EDT.

By Stephen Huebl and edited by Sarah Sussman
©CEP News Ltd. 2009


Posted by Philip Jernigan, SRA on May 1st, 2009 9:05 AMPost a Comment (0)

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CLEVELAND COUNTY STATS - 3/18/2009
May 1st, 2009 8:07 AM
Sales Statistics
for CLEVELAND County NC
Realist's most recent recording date for this county is 03/18/2009
 Single Family Residence
 Time Period Number of Sales Median Sale Price 
 Feb 2009 28 $94,500 
 Feb 2008 76 $91,000 
 Jan 2009 42 $94,250 
 Jan 2008 73 $95,000 
 2009 YTD 95 $94,500 
 2008 843 $99,000 
 Condominium
 Time Period Number of Sales Median Sale Price 
 Feb 2009 - $- 
 Feb 2008 - $- 
 Jan 2009 - $- 
 Jan 2008 - $- 
 2009 YTD 1 $100,000 
 2008 2 $161,000 

Posted by Philip Jernigan, SRA on May 1st, 2009 8:07 AMPost a Comment (0)

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